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What, Me Worry? LEAF Near All-Time Highs as the Nasdaq-100 Falls

  • Writer: Daniel Morton
    Daniel Morton
  • Jul 29
  • 1 min read

LEAF’s defensive positioning has held up well since the Nasdaq-100 peaked on June 2. From June 2 through July 29, LEAF gained 1.7%, while the QQQ ETF declined 10.8%.


The largest positive contributors over this period were the model’s long/short equity and inverse natural-gas positions. BTAL gained 10.3%, Fidelity Global Long/Short gained 31.4%, and KOLD gained 30.1%.


As these defensive holdings appreciated, the model took profits and redeployed a portion of the proceeds into the NASDAQ. This disciplined rebalancing allowed the model to reduce defensive exposure after strong gains while gradually adding to equities as prices declined.


The result was a new high for LEAF despite a significant decline in technology stocks.


Line chart comparing cumulative LEAF and QQQ performance from June 2 through July 29, 2026. LEAF gained 1.7% while QQQ declined 10.8%.

LEAF Index Returns vs QQQ ETF June 2 to July 29, 2026


Interested in learning more? Request the LEAF white paper or contact us to discuss model-subscription options.


Important disclosure: This material is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Performance figures may be based on model results and may not reflect trading costs, taxes, slippage or the results achieved by any individual investor. Leveraged and inverse ETFs reset daily and involve significant risks. Past performance does not guarantee future results.



 
 

Toronto

Morton Investment Research is an independent publisher of financial research and quantitative analysis. All content, including the LEAF Model, market commentary, and performance data, is provided strictly for informational and educational purposes and should not be construed as personalized investment, legal, or tax advice.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Quantitative models are subject to market volatility and unexpected structural shifts. Readers are fully responsible for their own investment decisions.

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